Potential Storm Development in the Caribbean as Hurricane Season Approaches Conclusion
The Caribbean is under watch for potential new storm development as the hurricane season nears its end. The National Hurricane Center identifies multiple disturbances, notably one with a 60% chance of becoming a tropical depression near Jamaica and another low-pressure system near Puerto Rico with a 10% chance of formation, alongside a third disturbance with a 20% development probability in the Atlantic.
Forecasters indicate that the Caribbean remains active, with the potential for the formation of new storms in the upcoming week. As the hurricane season progresses into its final month, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring several tropical disturbances that could evolve into storms within the next seven days. One disturbance has been situated south of Jamaica for several days and currently has a 60% likelihood of developing into a tropical depression within the week. Additionally, there is a 10% chance of this system strengthening within the next two days. Meteorologists anticipate that this won’t develop until the weekend or early next week as it moves generally northward and northwestward. “Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next several days across portions of the area,” warned meteorologists. Another disturbance was identified on Thursday afternoon, a trough of low pressure located near Puerto Rico. The National Hurricane Center has assigned this system a 10% chance of developing over the next two to seven days. It is expected that this system may gradually develop over the next two to three days as it proceeds west-northwestward towards the Greater Antilles, before becoming incorporated into the prevailing low-pressure area in the Caribbean. A third system, classified as a non-tropical area of low pressure situated far to the north in the Atlantic, was also noted on Thursday. According to the hurricane center, there is a 20% probability of this system developing in the forthcoming days.
The National Hurricane Center plays a pivotal role in monitoring and forecasting tropical disturbances during hurricane season, which typically peaks in September. Despite the season nearing its end, the Caribbean region continues to be susceptible to severe weather. Forecasters evaluate various systems, noting their probabilities for development and potential impacts, emphasizing the importance of preparedness for local populations at risk of heavy rainfall and strong wind events.
In summary, the Caribbean remains under observation for potential storm development as the hurricane season approaches its conclusion. A significant disturbance south of Jamaica is the primary concern, with a robust 60% chance of evolving into a tropical depression. Other systems in the region, particularly around Puerto Rico and to the north, also warrant monitoring. Authorities advise residents to stay alert for changing weather patterns and prepare accordingly, as even non-storm conditions can lead to heavy rainfall and other adverse weather effects.
Original Source: www.flkeysnews.com
