Tropical Cyclone Elvis Forms in Mozambique Channel, Threatening Madagascar
Tropical cyclone Elvis has formed in the Mozambique Channel, expected to intensify into a moderate storm. With maximum winds of 55 km/h, heavy rainfall in Madagascar has already caused flooding concerns, especially in Toliara. Meteorologists predict a path change southwest, urging coastal residents to take precautions as severe weather approaches.
On January 28, 2025, meteorologists reported the emergence of tropical cyclone Elvis, the sixth system of the cyclone season forming in the Mozambique Channel. Positioned approximately 250 kilometers off Madagascar, the system is expected to strengthen from a tropical disturbance into a moderate tropical storm by the end of the day.
Météo France highlighted that the cyclone has gained strength over the past 48 hours, currently moving south-southeast at a speed of 11 km/h. Early morning data on January 28 indicated maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h, along with gusts reaching 75 km/h. Rainfall from this system has already resulted in significant weather impacts, particularly in Eastern Madagascar.
Toliara province reported rainfall totals exceeding 500 millimeters within a 24-hour period, leading to concerns over potential flooding as the cyclone approaches. While forecasters caution about uncertainties related to the system’s intensity and trajectory, they anticipate that Elvis will gradually move closer to Toliara’s coastline.
“This system is expected to evolve over the next 12 hours, gradually intensifying and potentially reaching tropical storm status by the end of Tuesday,” stated Météo France. Local residents have been advised to remain attentive to updates from meteorological services as the situation progresses.
Looking ahead, Elvis is projected to alter its path southwestward starting Wednesday, potentially resulting in severe weather conditions along coastal regions. Increased rainfall is likely to further complicate existing flood risks, particularly due to recent heavy downpours.
Authorities have alerted coastal residents along Mozambique about the possibility of strong winds and rough seas, especially near Toliara and Inhambane provinces. Precautionary measures are strongly encouraged as conditions may become perilous.
Current forecasts predict that Elvis will maintain its status as a moderate tropical storm, with its center located at 24.2° S and 41.8° E on January 28 at 4 PM. The system is expected to continue evolving through January 31, with a potential transition to post-tropical conditions by February 2.
As hurricane-force winds and sustained heavy rains loom, coastal communities are advised to heed warnings and prepare for possible evacuations. Residents along Elvis’s projected path should stay informed through official meteorological updates, anticipating immediate responses to evolving atmospheric conditions.
The article discusses the formation of tropical cyclone Elvis within the Mozambique Channel, highlighting the meteorological community’s monitoring efforts as the situation develops. It emphasizes the cyclone’s potential to strengthen and its impact on the coastal regions of Madagascar, particularly Toliara, which has already experienced substantial rainfall and flooding. The ongoing atmospheric conditions illustrate the unpredictable nature of such weather systems and the associated risks for coastal communities.
In conclusion, tropical cyclone Elvis poses a significant threat to coastal regions of Madagascar, particularly Toliara, with expectations of intensification and heavy rainfall. Residents are advised to remain vigilant, prepare for potential evacuations, and adhere to guidance from meteorological authorities. Continuous monitoring and updates will be crucial as the situation unfolds in the coming days.
Original Source: evrimagaci.org