NOAA Predicts Above-Average 2025 Hurricane Season

NOAA forecasts the 2025 hurricane season to be above average, with 13 to 19 named storms expected. The likelihood of hurricanes and major hurricanes is significant, linked to various environmental factors, including warmer ocean temperatures and West African Monsoon activity. Updates can be accessed through KTEN News and its weather app.

In anticipation of the 2025 hurricane season, which will officially commence on June 1 and conclude on November 30, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released its forecast indicating an above-average level of storm activity in the Atlantic Basin. According to the NOAA, the probabilities for this season include a 30% chance for a normal season, a significant 60% likelihood of an above-average season, and a mere 10% chance for below-normal activity.

Specifically, NOAA forecasts that between 13 and 19 named storms are likely this hurricane season. Within that range, 6 to 10 storms are expected to escalate into hurricanes, with 3 to 5 likely becoming major hurricanes. It is worthwhile noting that NOAA is expressing a 70% confidence in these predictions, providing a solid basis for their outlook.

The anticipated above-average hurricane season is attributed to various environmental factors. Key contributors include ENSO-neutral conditions, elevated ocean temperatures, diminished wind shear, and increased activity from the West African Monsoon. The interactions among these factors are crucial for storm development and intensification.

Warmer ocean temperatures combined with weaker trade winds create a conducive environment for tropical storm formation. The absence of significant wind shear enables these storms to grow and strengthen. Moreover, the West African Monsoon plays a vital role in the prediction of tropical storm activity in the Atlantic, as many hurricanes form from disturbances that track westward from the African coast.

As the season approaches, viewers are encouraged to stay informed by tuning into KTEN News for detailed forecasts and updates on storm developments. Additionally, downloading the KTEN weather app will provide real-time information and alerts as the season progresses.

In summary, NOAA’s forecast for the 2025 hurricane season suggests heightened activity, predicting between 13 to 19 named storms, with a considerable proportion likely to develop into hurricanes. Driven by specific environmental conditions, the potential for an above-average season poses various implications for safety and preparedness. It is advisable for residents in vulnerable areas to stay updated through local news and weather applications as the season unfolds.

Original Source: www.kten.com