Rising Temperatures in February Signify a Hotter 2025 for Kerala?
The rising mercury levels in February 2025 may indicate it could become the hottest year for Kerala, following 2024’s record-setting temperatures. Experts, including IMD’s Neetha K. Gopal, state that ongoing climate change impacts necessitate preparation and adaptation in various sectors, particularly agriculture and public health.
Kerala’s unique geography results in a distinct climate pattern, leading to fluctuations between winter, summer, and the rainy season. This state, nestled between the Arabian Sea and the Western Ghats, faces significant challenges from climate change, including extreme weather events. Following 2024, noted as the hottest year in recorded history, indications suggest that 2025 may surpass previous temperature records for Kerala.
Neetha K. Gopal, Head of the India Meteorological Department (IMD) in Kerala, indicated a slight deviation in the normal temperature trend. “Kerala does not experience severe winters like northern India. February is often a transitional month; therefore, it can exhibit extreme variations between minimum and maximum temperatures,” she explained. The normal temperature is derived from a 30-year average, highlighting impacts from climate change.
For instance, on February 2, Thiruvananthapuram recorded a temperature of 35 degrees Celsius, which is two degrees above the norm. Gopal anticipates continued hot days due to the absence of rain or cloud cover in the immediate future. Moreover, such temperature rises could adversely affect agriculture and livestock, necessitating strategic long-term planning.
The IMD provides regular weather forecasts and alerts that enable government bodies to implement precautionary measures. These forecasts assist departments, such as irrigation and agriculture, in preparing for possible climatic extremes. “Rising temperatures can lead to heatwave conditions. Kerala residents are accustomed to temperatures around 35 degrees Celsius; temperatures exceeding 40 degrees Celsius could be perilous for health, agriculture, and the economy,” Gopal cautioned.
The World Meteorological Organization has affirmed that 2024 was the warmest year on record, with the past decade consistently featuring among the hottest. An increase of each degree in global temperatures correlates with a 7 percent rise in extreme daily rainfall. Given these predictions, Kerala’s vulnerable ecosystems require robust adaptive strategies to confront impending climate challenges effectively.
Kerala’s geographical location between the Arabian Sea and the Western Ghats influences its climate significantly, resulting in variations across seasons. The state has faced increasing climate change-induced challenges, including heightened temperatures and extreme weather patterns. The historical context reveals that 2024 was notably the hottest year recorded, raising concerns about subsequent years, particularly 2025, as evidence suggests even higher temperatures may occur. The role of the IMD is crucial in forecasting weather patterns and advising on necessary responses to shifting climatic conditions.
Rising temperatures in February could indicate that 2025 might be the hottest year for Kerala, following 2024’s record heat. Experts warn of potential health risks and negative impacts on agriculture and the economy. As climate change effects intensify, it is vital for the state to adopt comprehensive planning strategies to manage these challenges effectively. Implementing precautionary measures based on IMD forecasts can assist vulnerable sectors in addressing climatic uncertainties.
Original Source: www.onmanorama.com
