Tropical Cyclone Elvis Develops in Mozambique Channel Threatening Madagascar
On January 28, 2025, Tropical Cyclone Elvis developed in the Mozambique Channel, currently 250km from Madagascar. Expected to intensify to a moderate tropical storm, concerns arise over heavy rainfall leading to flooding, particularly in Toliara. Forecasts predict shifts in path and worsening weather, prompting local advisories for safety measures and preparedness.
On January 28, 2025, meteorologists are closely monitoring the formation of Tropical Cyclone Elvis, the sixth system of the cyclone season within the Mozambique Channel. Presently positioned approximately 250 kilometers off the coast of Madagascar, the cyclone is expected to intensify from a tropical disturbance to a moderate tropical storm by day’s end.
Météo France reported that Elvis has gained strength over the last 48 hours, moving steadily at 11 km/h toward the south-southeast. As of 4 AM local time, its coordinates were marked at 24.2 degrees South and 41.8 degrees East, with maximum sustained winds of 55 km/h and gusts reaching 75 km/h.
The impact of this system is already being felt, particularly in Eastern Madagascar’s Toliara province, which experienced record rainfall of over 500 millimeters in 24 hours, leading to flooding concerns as the storm approaches. Forecasters are cautious in their predictions due to variables impacting the cyclone’s strength and trajectory.
Météo France highlighted, “This system is expected to evolve over the next 12 hours, gradually intensifying and potentially reaching tropical storm status by the end of Tuesday.” They urged residents to remain alert and monitor updates from local meteorological services.
Forecasts indicate that Elvis will shift its path southwest starting Wednesday, risking severe weather conditions along the coasts. The heavy rains could worsen the already flooding situation resulting from recent downpours, prompting warnings of strong local winds and turbulent seas, particularly affecting Toliara and Inhambane provinces.
As of January 28 at 4 PM, Elvis is projected as a moderate tropical storm, with coordinates of 24.2° S and 41.8° E. The forecast anticipates the storm will maintain its intensity into January 29, transitioning potentially to post-tropical conditions by February 2. Residents are encouraged to heed all warnings and prepare for necessary evacuations if advised.
Coastal populations are urged to stay informed through their respective meteorological authorities. With atmospheric conditions subject to change, the monitoring of Tropical Cyclone Elvis will continue, necessitating adjustments to response efforts as the situation develops.
Tropical cyclones are significant weather phenomena that can lead to widespread destruction, particularly along coastlines. In the Mozambique Channel, the development and monitoring of cyclones like Elvis are crucial for ensuring the safety of affected populations. Understanding the nature of these systems, including their potential for intensification and resulting weather conditions, is critical for preparedness efforts and risk mitigation in vulnerable coastal areas.
In summary, Tropical Cyclone Elvis poses a significant threat to the coasts of Madagascar, particularly Toliara, with expected intensification into a moderate tropical storm. Local authorities and residents are urged to remain vigilant and prepared for potential evacuations and adverse weather conditions, as heavy rainfall and strong winds from the cyclone could exacerbate flooding risks. Continuous updates from meteorological services will be vital in ensuring community safety during this developing situation.
Original Source: evrimagaci.org
