NHC Monitoring Disturbances: Impact on Texas from Subtropical Storm Patty and Caribbean Developments
The NHC is tracking two disturbances, including Subtropical Storm Patty with 65 mph winds, while a tropical depression is expected to form in the Caribbean next week. Texas is not anticipated to be affected by these storms this weekend, although heavy rainfall may occur in the Caribbean.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is currently monitoring two disturbances, including the newly formed Subtropical Storm Patty, which is situated west of the Azores. The storm presents maximum sustained winds of 65 mph and is advancing east-southeast at a velocity of 13 mph. Meanwhile, there is anticipation of a tropical depression developing in the southwestern Caribbean Sea next week, with a high chance of formation, possibly leading to heavy rainfall in nearby regions such as Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba over the coming days. Forecasters predict that two systems are under observation: one in the Caribbean with an 80% chance of developing, and the other bringing unpredictable weather to the Greater Antilles. Despite these developments, Texas is not expected to be directly impacted by these conditions this weekend, though it is advisable for residents to remain vigilant. Forecasts suggest that storms typically traveling westward in this season may shift due to a frontal passage, although the current guidance points to minimal risk of severe weather for Texas. The Atlantic hurricane season has noted very few hurricane landfalls in November, indicating that while development is plausible, significant storms are rare at this stage of the season.
The Atlantic hurricane season, running from June 1 to November 30, is known for its active patterns of tropical storm developments, especially in the Caribbean and off the southeastern U.S. coast. With the ocean temperatures being conducive and low wind shear present, the potential for new tropical developments, particularly toward the end of the season, rises significantly. Historically, only a scant number of hurricanes have struck the U.S. coastline in November, suggesting an overall rarity for severe impacts during this month. However, storms can still develop rapidly and unpredictably, making awareness essential.
In conclusion, while the NHC is monitoring a potentially significant tropical depression in the Caribbean and the established Subtropical Storm Patty, it appears that Texas is not forecasted to face any immediate threats from these weather systems this weekend. Nevertheless, continued surveillance of these disturbances is recommended as they progress, especially given the latent potential for development as the season nears its end.
Original Source: www.statesman.com
