National Hurricane Center Monitors Tropical Systems Headed for the Gulf

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The National Hurricane Center is tracking a weak disturbance moving toward the Gulf of Mexico, with a 40% chance of development, and is monitoring Tropical Storm Kirk, which is expected to become a hurricane. Invest 91-L is also likely to develop into a named storm. Significant tropical moisture is expected in South Florida this weekend as these systems progress.

In recent developments, the National Hurricane Center is monitoring three potential areas of tropical activity. A weak weather disturbance is projected to move toward the Gulf of Mexico over the next few days, currently holding a 40% probability of developing into a stronger system. Meteorologist Jennifer Correa from WPTV First Alert Weather emphasized, “Especially once it gets into the Gulf, that’s when we have to watch that.” This system is anticipated to reach the Gulf by Friday or the weekend, continuing into early next week. However, forecasting models have displayed a lack of consensus regarding this system’s trajectory. Regardless of its eventual strength, it is expected to bring significant tropical moisture to South Florida during the weekend. In addition to this disturbance, Tropical Storm Kirk, located just off the Cabo Verde Islands near Africa, is likely to intensify into a hurricane within the next 24 hours and has the potential to develop into a major hurricane before veering out into the North Atlantic. Further behind Kirk, the tropical wave known as Invest 91-L is situated in the eastern Atlantic Ocean and is also projected to develop into a named storm shortly, with a high likelihood of doing so. It is anticipated to follow a path similar to that of Kirk, moving towards cooler waters in the Atlantic, meaning no imminent threat to land. Should Invest 91-L receive a designation, it is expected to be named Leslie. Meteorologist Correa noted the climatological patterns of this time of year, stating, “During this time of year, the western Caribbean Sea and into the Gulf, that tends to be the hot spots for development.” The hurricane season officially concludes on November 30, which places additional emphasis on monitoring these weather systems closely.

The article discusses the current status of tropical activity as monitored by the National Hurricane Center, particularly focusing on a weak disturbance heading towards the Gulf of Mexico, along with Tropical Storm Kirk and a developing system called Invest 91-L. Understanding these weather patterns is crucial as the Atlantic hurricane season is nearing its endpoint, prompting increased vigilance in forecasting and preparedness in potentially affected areas.

In summary, the National Hurricane Center is actively monitoring three systems, notably a weak disturbance moving toward the Gulf of Mexico, which has a 40% chance of development. Tropical Storm Kirk is expected to strengthen into a hurricane, while Invest 91-L is positioned to potentially become the next named storm. This period is critical for tropical system development, particularly in the Gulf and the Caribbean, underscoring the importance of ongoing observation and preparedness as the hurricane season nears its end.

Original Source: www.wptv.com

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